AFC Arhem vs Luctor Et Emergo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Arhem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
2 - 2
ARH
13%
19%
68%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
HOO
1 - 2
ARH
29%
23%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARH
2 - 0
SIL
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ARH
1 - 1
GER
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BAB
0 - 2
ARH
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Luctor Et Emergo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
BEM
0 - 2
LUC
65%
19%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 2
RHE
40%
24%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AWC
1 - 1
LUC
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
RIG
6 - 1
LUC
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 1
HOO
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |