AFC Arhem vs De Bataven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Arhem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARH
3 - 4
ROH
27%
22%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARH
2 - 1
ACH
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MSC
3 - 1
ARH
75%
15%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ARH
2 - 1
JUL
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FVC
2 - 2
ARH
47%
22%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
De Bataven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DEB
4 - 0
FVC
64%
19%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
JUL
1 - 0
DEB
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ROH
3 - 0
DEB
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DEB
2 - 0
RKH
27%
22%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ACH
4 - 3
DEB
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |