Afan Lido vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
59.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
LID
0 - 1
WEL
47%
27%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
LLA
3 - 1
LID
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
LID
0 - 2
CWM
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
LID
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
LID
0 - 1
HAV
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
TNS
1 - 1
POR
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
CWM
2 - 2
TNS
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
TNS
2 - 0
HAV
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 3
TNS
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
TNS
3 - 0
NEW
59%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |