Afan Lido vs Risca United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 3
LID
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
LID
2 - 3
CAE
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
LID
0 - 2
CAR
31%
25%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TON
3 - 2
LID
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
LID
0 - 0
BRI
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MON
4 - 3
RIS
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
TAF
4 - 3
RIS
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
RIS
75%
14%
11%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
RIS
0 - 2
CAR
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 2
RIS
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +3 |