Afan Lido vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
LID
5 - 1
ABE
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LID
2 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
BRI
0 - 3
LID
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
LID
1 - 0
BRY
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
GOY
0 - 3
LID
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
BRI
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
6 - 0
BRY
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +4 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BRY
6 - 1
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 1
PEN
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
GOY
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |