AF Virois vs AG Caennaise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
6º
1º
40
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AFV
1 - 0
MGA
84%
11%
6%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AGC
1 - 2
AFV
34%
22%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LEH
1 - 2
AFV
35%
22%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 6
AFV
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AFV
2 - 2
DIV
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
AGC
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AGC
1 - 2
AFV
34%
22%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DIE
0 - 1
AGC
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GRQ
1 - 4
AGC
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AGC
1 - 2
AVR
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |