AF Elbasani vs Flamurtari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
1º
4º
2º
1
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
1 | 58 |
1º
|
21% | |
|
|
1º
|
4 | 57 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 56 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 54 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 51 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 44 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 41 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 40 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 39 |
10º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
62.5% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
25.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 0
ELB
45%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ELB
1 - 1
VLZ
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ELB
1 - 0
BYL
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
EGN
1 - 2
ELB
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
ELB
2 - 1
TIR
46%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Flamurtari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
VOR
0 - 1
FLA
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FLA
2 - 0
ERZ
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FLA
0 - 2
BES
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
BUR
0 - 0
FLA
22%
29%
49%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
FLA
1 - 2
POG
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |