Super League Temporada Regular. Jor. 13

AEK Athens vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis

AEK Athens Aris Thessaloniki
81 ELO 78
2.1% Tilt -3.8%
270º General ELO ranking 348º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.1%
AEK Athens
23.5%
Draw
19.4%
Aris Thessaloniki

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
AEK Athens
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.4%
Win probability
Aris Thessaloniki
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AEK Athens
+10%
-7%
Aris Thessaloniki

Points and table prediction

AEK Athens
Their league position
Aris Thessaloniki
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
42
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PAOK
60
60
100%
AEK Athens
59
59
100%
Olympiacos Piraeus
57
57
100%
Panathinaikos
56
56
100%
Aris Thessaloniki
42
42
100%
Lamia
34
34
100%
Asteras Tripolis
31
31
100%
Atromitos
28
28
100%
Panserraikos FC
27
27
100%
OFI
10º
25
25
10º
100%
Panaitolikos
11º
20
20
11º
0%
Volos New Football
12º
20
20
12º
0%
Kifisia
13º
19
19
13º
100%
PAS Giannina
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
AEK Athens
Aris Thessaloniki
Play-offs for the title
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

AEK Athens
Aris Thessaloniki
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AEK Athens
AEK Athens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2023
AEK
AEK Athens
0 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
12%
19%
68%
82 93 11 0
26 Nov. 2023
GIA
PAS Giannina
0 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
18%
25%
57%
81 66 15 +1
12 Nov. 2023
AEK
AEK Athens
3 - 0
Lamia
LAM
77%
16%
7%
82 63 19 -1
09 Nov. 2023
AEK
AEK Athens
0 - 2
Olympique Marseille
MAR
37%
25%
38%
82 85 3 0
04 Nov. 2023
KIF
Kifisia
1 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
12%
22%
66%
82 58 24 0

Matches

Aris Thessaloniki
Aris Thessaloniki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2023
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
2 - 0
Panathinaikos
PAN
42%
28%
30%
77 81 4 0
11 Nov. 2023
VNF
Volos New Football
0 - 2
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
26%
27%
47%
77 62 15 0
05 Nov. 2023
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
1 - 3
Atromitos
ATR
67%
21%
12%
77 65 12 0
29 Oct. 2023
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
2 - 0
PAS Giannina
GIA
65%
22%
13%
77 66 11 0
21 Oct. 2023
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
1 - 0
Panserraikos FC
PAN
78%
16%
6%
76 57 19 +1
X