Greek Super League Round 24

AEK Athens vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis

AEK Athens Aris Thessaloniki
82 ELO 66
8.2% Tilt -6.1%
476º General ELO ranking 474º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
74.2%
AEK Athens
17.6%
Draw
8.2%
Aris Thessaloniki

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
AEK Athens
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.2%
Win probability
Aris Thessaloniki
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AEK Athens
+10%
-4%
Aris Thessaloniki

ELO progression

AEK Athens
Aris Thessaloniki
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AEK Athens
AEK Athens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2007
APO
Apollon Kalamaria
1 - 2
AEK Athens
AEK
30%
28%
42%
82 69 13 0
22 Feb. 2007
PSG
PSG
2 - 0
AEK Athens
AEK
64%
22%
15%
82 87 5 0
18 Feb. 2007
AEK
AEK Athens
1 - 4
Panathinaikos
PAN
52%
25%
24%
83 83 0 -1
14 Feb. 2007
AEK
AEK Athens
0 - 2
PSG
PSG
47%
28%
26%
82 86 4 +1
10 Feb. 2007
ERG
Ergotelis
0 - 0
AEK Athens
AEK
23%
27%
50%
83 61 22 -1

Matches

Aris Thessaloniki
Aris Thessaloniki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2007
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
3 - 1
OFI
OFI
37%
29%
35%
66 71 5 0
17 Feb. 2007
PAO
PAOK
1 - 0
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
76%
17%
7%
66 83 17 0
10 Feb. 2007
PAN
Panionios
0 - 0
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
69%
21%
10%
66 83 17 0
04 Feb. 2007
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
1 - 0
AO Xanthi
XAN
33%
30%
37%
65 77 12 +1
28 Jan. 2007
ION
Ionikos Nikea
0 - 1
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
50%
27%
23%
65 64 1 0