Greek Super League Round 28

AEK Athens vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis

AEK Athens Aris Thessaloniki
83 ELO 80
26% Tilt 1.4%
476º General ELO ranking 474º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
66.5%
AEK Athens
19%
Draw
14.5%
Aris Thessaloniki

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
AEK Athens
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.5%
Win probability
Aris Thessaloniki
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AEK Athens
+12%
-6%
Aris Thessaloniki

ELO progression

AEK Athens
Aris Thessaloniki
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AEK Athens
AEK Athens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2003
AEK
AEK Athens
0 - 1
PAOK
PAO
57%
21%
22%
83 82 1 0
20 Apr. 2003
ION
Ionikos Nikea
0 - 3
AEK Athens
AEK
28%
26%
47%
83 73 10 0
13 Apr. 2003
AEK
AEK Athens
6 - 1
Iraklis Thessaloniki
IRA
63%
20%
17%
83 81 2 0
05 Apr. 2003
AEK
AEK Athens
4 - 1
Proodeftiki FC
PRO
85%
11%
4%
83 64 19 0
22 Mar. 2003
PAO
PAOK
0 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
54%
23%
23%
83 83 0 0

Matches

Aris Thessaloniki
Aris Thessaloniki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2003
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
0 - 0
Egaleo
EGA
85%
11%
4%
80 52 28 0
19 Apr. 2003
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
2 - 1
Proodeftiki FC
PRO
70%
20%
10%
80 64 16 0
13 Apr. 2003
PAO
PAOK
2 - 0
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
62%
21%
17%
80 83 3 0
09 Apr. 2003
EGA
Egaleo
1 - 1
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
11%
22%
67%
81 52 29 -1
05 Apr. 2003
ARI
Aris Thessaloniki
4 - 1
Akratitos
AKR
76%
17%
8%
80 63 17 +1