Atenas vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ATE
0 - 0
HFC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
ATE
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ATE
4 - 3
REN
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CSC
2 - 0
ATE
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HFC
3 - 1
ATE
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
PRO
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 0
CEN
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
CSM
1 - 1
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 1
CSM
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
BOS
1 - 3
PRO
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |