ADT de Tarma vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
44.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADT de Tarma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SPC
4 - 2
ADT
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ADT
2 - 1
MAN
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 2
ADT
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ADT
1 - 1
AGP
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SBO
2 - 1
ADT
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
BIN
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
MEL
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CIE
2 - 2
MEL
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
6 - 2
MUN
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |