Franciacorta vs Vis Nova Giussano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ADR
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 3
DES
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
ADR
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
ADR
38%
23%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ADR
1 - 3
USP
56%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vis Nova Giussano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 0
NOV
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 2
UNI
15%
17%
68%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
USB
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
ALC
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |