Franciacorta vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
USP
2 - 2
ADR
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ADR
2 - 0
NOV
84%
11%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 0
ADR
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ADR
0 - 1
SON
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VCB
1 - 4
ADR
38%
23%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
TRI
3 - 0
VIL
47%
23%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
DES
4 - 1
TRI
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
TRI
2 - 3
CAL
54%
21%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
TRI
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TRI
2 - 2
CAR
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |