Tercera Division G11 Round 8

Adra vs Real Jaén analysis

Adra Real Jaén
28 ELO 41
-2.7% Tilt -18.9%
12466º General ELO ranking 4779º
1740º Country ELO ranking 155º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Adra
25.5%
Draw
34.6%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
Adra
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.6%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Adra
-50%
-5%
Real Jaén

ELO progression

Adra
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Adra
Adra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 1964
ILI
Iliturgi CF
1 - 0
Adra
ADR
60%
22%
19%
31 29 2 0
18 Oct. 1964
ADR
Adra
1 - 0
Puerto Malagueño
PUE
80%
13%
7%
30 22 8 +1
11 Oct. 1964
RON
CD Ronda
0 - 1
Adra
ADR
72%
17%
11%
30 33 3 0
04 Oct. 1964
ADR
Adra
3 - 1
56%
22%
23%
28 32 4 +2
27 Sep. 1964
ANT
Antequera CF
1 - 2
Adra
ADR
72%
17%
11%
27 30 3 +1

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 1964
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
At. Malagueño
MAL
79%
14%
7%
40 36 4 0
18 Oct. 1964
ILI
Iliturgi CF
1 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
31%
26%
43%
41 26 15 -1
11 Oct. 1964
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Juventud Torremolinos
JUV
89%
8%
3%
41 20 21 0
04 Oct. 1964
PUE
Puerto Malagueño
4 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
21%
25%
54%
45 12 33 -4
27 Sep. 1964
ATL
Atlético Cordobes
0 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
37%
25%
38%
44 30 14 +1