Admira Dornbirn vs FC Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
3º
41
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Admira Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AND
1 - 2
ADM
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ADM
1 - 2
ROT
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SCG
1 - 0
ADM
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
ADM
3 - 3
ROT
59%
19%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
ADM
48%
22%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
NEN
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
LUS
4 - 1
BIZ
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KBL
0 - 4
LUS
19%
19%
62%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 2
FCH
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HIT
1 - 1
LUS
7%
13%
79%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -1 |