ESAE vs Akanke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ADJ
0 - 0
ASO
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SEM
3 - 0
ADJ
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ADJ
0 - 0
JEU
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TON
0 - 1
ADJ
45%
26%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ADJ
0 - 0
ASP
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Akanke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 0
AKA
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AKA
0 - 0
POL
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AKA
0 - 0
ASP
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JEU
1 - 0
AKA
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SEM
0 - 0
AKA
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |