Adelaide Olympic vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
50.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ADO
3 - 2
SAP
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ADO
2 - 2
CAM
21%
20%
60%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
WES
0 - 3
ADO
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SAP
1 - 1
ADO
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 0
44%
22%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
NEM
18%
21%
61%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
WAD
3 - 1
NEM
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NEM
1 - 2
ADE
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 4
NEM
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
NEM
15%
20%
65%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -2 |