Adelaide Comets vs Sturt Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 3
ADE
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ADE
0 - 1
ADE
37%
25%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ADE
3 - 2
ADO
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
1 - 2
ADE
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ADE
4 - 0
SLF
70%
17%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SLF
2 - 2
SAP
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NEM
0 - 0
SLF
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SAP
5 - 2
SLF
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SLF
4 - 0
CUM
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 1
SLF
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |