Adelaide City vs Adelaide Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
9º
4º
25
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADE
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
1 - 3
ADE
40%
23%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 2
SAP
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
WAD
0 - 1
ADE
19%
20%
61%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 1
CRO
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ADO
2 - 2
26%
22%
53%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SAP
3 - 3
ADO
54%
22%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ADO
4 - 0
WAD
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 1
ADO
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ADO
0 - 6
CAM
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |