Adama Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adama Ketema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
ADK
0 - 2
MAK
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
ETH
3 - 1
ADK
47%
27%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
ADK
0 - 0
WED
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
ADK
1 - 3
DIR
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
SIB
0 - 0
ADK
43%
28%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Welwalo Adigrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
WAU
1 - 3
KGI
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
WAU
1 - 1
SHI
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
WAU
1 - 1
ETH
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
WAU
1 - 2
KET
38%
27%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
WED
1 - 0
WAU
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |