AD San José vs UD Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 1
ADS
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ADS
1 - 0
CDD
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 0
ADS
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ADS
3 - 1
CDD
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
ADS
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 3
EST
19%
22%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
DHM
3 - 0
MOR
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 3
TOR
17%
21%
62%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ARH
3 - 1
MOR
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
ROC
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |