AD Plus Ultra vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
CPC
2 - 2
PUL
50%
21%
29%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
PUL
2 - 2
RCD
52%
21%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
CAT
5 - 1
PUL
72%
16%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
PUL
2 - 1
MEL
51%
22%
27%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ATB
2 - 1
PUL
60%
19%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
RJA
5 - 0
MEL
60%
18%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BAL
2 - 1
RJA
58%
20%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 0
CAT
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
UDL
4 - 0
RJA
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
RJA
3 - 2
MUR
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |