AD Plus Ultra vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
BÉJ
0 - 1
PUL
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
PUL
3 - 0
TAL
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
ALC
3 - 1
PUL
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
PUL
1 - 4
COL
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
AMC
0 - 2
PUL
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
MER
4 - 3
QUI
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
SEG
0 - 1
MER
63%
19%
17%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
MER
0 - 2
CPC
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
CDT
5 - 1
MER
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
BÉJ
0 - 0
MER
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |