AD Plus Ultra vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
MUR
2 - 0
PUL
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
PUL
1 - 1
CDT
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
PUL
1 - 1
RJA
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
EXT
2 - 1
PUL
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 1
RAC
52%
21%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ELC
4 - 1
RJA
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
EXT
1 - 1
ELC
59%
20%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ELC
0 - 1
LEV
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
CAD
3 - 0
ELC
56%
22%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
GIR
4 - 2
ELC
41%
23%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |