AD Plus Ultra vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
LEV
1 - 1
PUL
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
PUL
0 - 0
CDB
60%
20%
21%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
BET
3 - 1
PUL
79%
13%
8%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
SEG
0 - 0
PUL
39%
22%
39%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
PUL
5 - 0
MAN
89%
7%
4%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
SFE
1 - 1
XER
70%
16%
14%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SFE
2 - 1
CDT
67%
18%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
LEV
1 - 0
SFE
64%
18%
17%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
BET
5 - 1
SFE
72%
16%
13%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
SFE
5 - 2
ELD
69%
17%
15%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |