Apertura Colombia round 16

Deportivo Pasto vs At. Nacional analysis

Deportivo Pasto At. Nacional
73 ELO 81
-19.3% Tilt -1.2%
457º General ELO ranking 361º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.6%
Deportivo Pasto
29%
Draw
39.4%
At. Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
Deportivo Pasto
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.4%
Win probability
At. Nacional
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportivo Pasto
+4%
+12%
At. Nacional

ELO progression

Deportivo Pasto
At. Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2008
JUN
Junior
2 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
64%
21%
16%
74 80 6 0
20 Apr. 2008
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 0
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
34%
29%
37%
74 79 5 0
13 Apr. 2008
PER
Deportivo Pereira
5 - 2
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
34%
29%
38%
74 66 8 0
06 Apr. 2008
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
2 - 0
Millonarios
MIL
39%
29%
33%
74 76 2 0
03 Apr. 2008
TOL
Deportes Tolima
1 - 2
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
51%
26%
23%
73 77 4 +1

Matches

At. Nacional
At. Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2008
NAC
At. Nacional
1 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
39%
27%
34%
81 82 1 0
27 Apr. 2008
NAC
At. Nacional
3 - 2
América de Cali
AME
40%
26%
33%
80 80 0 +1
24 Apr. 2008
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
66%
20%
14%
81 86 5 -1
20 Apr. 2008
NAC
At. Nacional
1 - 0
Deportes Quindío
QUI
59%
24%
17%
80 70 10 +1
14 Apr. 2008
JUN
Junior
3 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
55%
23%
22%
80 80 0 0