AD Marco 09 vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
14º
4º
35
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VSC
1 - 1
ADM
86%
9%
5%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 1
ADM
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ODO
0 - 1
ADM
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ADM
0 - 1
SAL
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ADM
1 - 0
VIL
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
ODO
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 2
AMA
24%
28%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 3
PAR
53%
26%
21%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
ACD
77%
16%
8%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 3
PAR
34%
25%
40%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |