AD Marco 09 vs Oliveira Douro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+657%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
14º
4º
26
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 1
ADM
61%
20%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 0
ACD
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
ADM
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ADM
0 - 0
SAO
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 0
ADM
50%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveira Douro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ODO
0 - 0
VSC
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ODO
1 - 1
SAL
28%
22%
51%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 1
ODO
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ODO
2 - 1
VIL
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
ODO
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |