Mancha Real AD vs UD La Guardia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 3
ADM
51%
23%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ADM
2 - 1
BEA
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ILI
4 - 1
ADM
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ADM
1 - 0
VIL
22%
22%
57%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 1
ADM
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 2
BEA
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
LAG
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 1
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
LAG
25%
23%
53%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAG
4 - 1
JOD
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |