Mancha Real AD vs C.D. Útica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
65%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ADM
2 - 1
CFS
43%
24%
33%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ADM
1 - 3
VIL
14%
19%
68%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
UBE
4 - 2
ADM
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ADM
0 - 2
ATL
35%
26%
39%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
ADM
52%
23%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
C.D. Útica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CDU
5 - 3
CDH
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FSV
2 - 6
CDU
60%
20%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CDU
3 - 0
JOD
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 0
CDU
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CDU
5 - 0
LAG
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |