Mancha Real AD vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
ADM
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ADM
3 - 1
CAS
71%
16%
12%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BAI
0 - 0
ADM
29%
25%
46%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
ADM
2 - 0
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
IBR
2 - 1
ADM
23%
23%
55%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BAE
1 - 1
URG
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDA
0 - 2
BAE
19%
21%
61%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BAE
1 - 0
CDT
54%
20%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ICF
1 - 1
BAE
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BAE
2 - 1
LAG
61%
20%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |