AD Llerenense vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
54.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
BAL
2 - 0
ADL
86%
11%
3%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
ADL
1 - 1
CDB
16%
25%
58%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
IMP
1 - 1
ADL
90%
8%
2%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
REC
5 - 1
ADL
78%
17%
5%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
ADL
1 - 2
SEV
15%
27%
58%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
RJA
2 - 1
REC
43%
29%
28%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
SEV
1 - 1
RJA
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
RJA
0 - 2
MUR
25%
29%
46%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
JOV
0 - 0
RJA
37%
28%
36%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
RJA
1 - 1
MER
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |