Baiano 2 Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Jequié vs Grapiuna Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jequié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 0
JEQ
15%
19%
66%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 2
JEQ
37%
24%
40%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
JEQ
1 - 0
JUA
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
JEQ
3 - 0
ADL
6%
13%
82%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
JEQ
17%
18%
65%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 0
JEQ
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
JUA
1 - 2
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
VIT
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |