Jaguar vs Íbis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+731%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
FEC
0 - 3
ADJ
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ADJ
3 - 2
OFC
22%
23%
56%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +3 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
ADJ
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
OFC
3 - 1
ADJ
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ADJ
2 - 3
PES
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Íbis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ISC
2 - 2
FEC
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
OFC
0 - 0
ISC
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
ISC
0 - 2
SSS
33%
23%
43%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
5 - 1
ISC
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ISC
2 - 3
CHA
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |