Jaguar vs AD Cabense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+712%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
0 - 2
ADJ
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ADJ
9 - 0
PER
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VCR
0 - 1
ADJ
64%
19%
18%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ADJ
1 - 1
YPI
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ADJ
2 - 0
ISC
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +4 |
Matches
AD Cabense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 1
ISC
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SED
2 - 1
CAB
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 1
ACA
15%
20%
65%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 1
CAB
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
YPI
0 - 1
CAB
62%
22%
16%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |