2ª Auto. Castilla-La Mancha Jor. 26

Hogar Alcarreño B vs Almoguera C.F. analysis

Hogar Alcarreño B Almoguera C.F.
7 ELO 18
17.6% Tilt 1.3%
17177º General ELO ranking 11448º
4476º Country ELO ranking 705º
ELO win probability
10.6%
Hogar Alcarreño B
13.8%
Draw
75.6%
Almoguera C.F.

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
Hogar Alcarreño B
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
75.6%
Win probability
Almoguera C.F.
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hogar Alcarreño B
-20%
-9%
Almoguera C.F.

ELO progression

Hogar Alcarreño B
Almoguera C.F.
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hogar Alcarreño B
Hogar Alcarreño B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2024
ALC
Sporting Alcarreño
0 - 1
Hogar Alcarreño B
HOG
40%
22%
38%
6 5 1 0
17 Mar. 2024
HOG
Hogar Alcarreño B
3 - 3
CD Mandayona
MAN
32%
21%
47%
6 11 5 0
09 Mar. 2024
CVL
Ciudad Valdeluz
4 - 0
Hogar Alcarreño B
HOG
66%
18%
16%
7 11 4 -1
03 Mar. 2024
HOG
Hogar Alcarreño B
1 - 7
Marchamalo B
MAR
16%
18%
66%
7 16 9 0
25 Feb. 2024
JAD
Jadraque CD
3 - 2
Hogar Alcarreño B
HOG
78%
13%
9%
8 13 5 -1

Matches

Almoguera C.F.
Almoguera C.F.
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2024
ALM
Almoguera C.F.
1 - 2
Usanos CF
USA
86%
9%
5%
19 11 8 0
16 Mar. 2024
HOR
Horche B
2 - 2
Almoguera C.F.
ALM
11%
15%
75%
20 10 10 -1
09 Mar. 2024
ALM
Almoguera C.F.
1 - 0
Fontanar CR
FON
86%
9%
6%
20 12 8 0
02 Mar. 2024
GUA
Atlético Guadalajara B
3 - 1
Almoguera C.F.
ALM
13%
16%
71%
21 11 10 -1
24 Feb. 2024
ALM
Almoguera C.F.
10 - 2
Cultural Espinosa
CES
94%
5%
2%
21 6 15 0
X