Liga Nacional Murcia round 15

Guadalupe U19 vs CFS El Progreso U19 analysis

Guadalupe U19 CFS El Progreso U19
7 ELO 13
7% Tilt 4.6%
38412º General ELO ranking 14331º
9860º Country ELO ranking 4020º
ELO win probability
28%
Guadalupe U19
20.9%
Draw
51%
CFS El Progreso U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
Guadalupe U19
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
51%
Win probability
CFS El Progreso U19
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Guadalupe U19
Their league position
CFS El Progreso U19
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
16º
18º
17º
46
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Murcia Promises U19
75
75
0%
UCAM Murcia U19 B
75
75
0%
ADM Lorquí U19
71
71
100%
Real Murcia U19 B
69
69
100%
EF Torre Pacheco U19
66
66
100%
CD Cieza U19
58
58
100%
Lorca CFB U19
57
57
100%
Cartagena FC U19
56
56
100%
Pinatar U19
53
53
100%
CFS El Progreso U19
10º
46
46
10º
100%
Unión Archena U19
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Unión Molinense U19
12º
44
44
12º
100%
CD Mediterráneo U19
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Fútbol Base Yecla U19
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Beniaján CF U19
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Murcia Promesas U19
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Guadalupe U19
17º
12
12
17º
100%
Mar Menor CF U19
18º
1
1
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Guadalupe U19
CFS El Progreso U19
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Guadalupe U19
CFS El Progreso U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guadalupe U19
Guadalupe U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2024
EFM
Unión Molinense U19
2 - 0
Guadalupe U19
GUA
58%
19%
23%
9 11 2 0
17 Dec. 2023
GUA
Guadalupe U19
2 - 3
Beniaján CF U19
BEN
47%
22%
32%
9 11 2 0
03 Dec. 2023
UCA
UCAM Murcia U19 B
3 - 3
Guadalupe U19
GUA
87%
9%
4%
9 20 11 0
25 Nov. 2023
GUA
Guadalupe U19
1 - 5
Murcia Promises U19
ACA
16%
18%
66%
9 17 8 0
18 Nov. 2023
MMC
Mar Menor CF U19
3 - 5
Guadalupe U19
GUA
49%
21%
30%
7 7 0 +2

Matches

CFS El Progreso U19
CFS El Progreso U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2024
PRO
CFS El Progreso U19
0 - 4
ADM Lorquí U19
ADM
17%
18%
65%
13 20 7 0
17 Dec. 2023
REA
Real Murcia U19 B
3 - 1
CFS El Progreso U19
PRO
58%
20%
22%
13 16 3 0
02 Dec. 2023
PRO
CFS El Progreso U19
2 - 2
Lorca CFB U19
LOR
37%
22%
41%
13 16 3 0
26 Nov. 2023
MUR
Murcia Promesas U19
1 - 1
CFS El Progreso U19
PRO
20%
20%
61%
13 7 6 0
18 Nov. 2023
PRO
CFS El Progreso U19
2 - 1
CD Mediterráneo U19
CDM
59%
19%
22%
13 10 3 0