AD Covadonga vs Arrabaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
63.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
COR
6 - 1
COV
62%
18%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
COV
1 - 2
AMO
56%
19%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LOB
4 - 2
COV
23%
21%
57%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 3
COV
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COV
5 - 2
CEA
80%
11%
9%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ARR
5 - 2
IRI
91%
7%
3%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
OUT
0 - 1
ARR
15%
19%
67%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARR
1 - 1
COL
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
ARR
23%
20%
57%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ARR
3 - 1
AMO
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |