AgD Ceuta vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGD
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AGD
0 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
RJA
3 - 0
AGD
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 0
AGD
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 1
SEV
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SRQ
2 - 0
RJA
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
SRQ
2 - 0
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
POL
1 - 1
SRQ
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 2
PUE
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CFB
0 - 1
SRQ
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |