AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
MAL
1 - 1
AGD
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
AGD
2 - 1
ALG
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
BET
1 - 1
AGD
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
AGD
0 - 1
CAD
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
JER
1 - 0
AGD
36%
29%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
RJA
2 - 0
MEL
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
MER
1 - 0
RJA
33%
28%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
RJA
0 - 0
CIU
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
EXT
1 - 1
RJA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
RJA
2 - 1
ECI
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |