AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
CDB
0 - 2
AGD
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
POR
2 - 0
AGD
31%
31%
38%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
AGD
1 - 1
GRA
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
GIM
1 - 1
AGD
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
AGD
4 - 0
TER
75%
18%
7%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
RJA
2 - 2
GRA
48%
30%
22%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
GIM
3 - 0
RJA
58%
26%
16%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
RJA
2 - 2
TER
64%
23%
12%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
VAL
1 - 0
RJA
39%
33%
28%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
RJA
0 - 2
IBI
62%
23%
14%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |