AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
CDB
0 - 0
AGD
68%
21%
12%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
AGD
1 - 1
CFC
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
MEL
3 - 2
AGD
51%
28%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
AGD
2 - 0
RAC
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
LIN
3 - 0
AGD
61%
25%
15%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
RJA
3 - 1
EXT
70%
20%
10%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
HEL
4 - 2
RJA
53%
28%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
RJA
0 - 0
ELD
61%
24%
15%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
SEV
1 - 2
RJA
59%
25%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
CDO
1 - 3
RJA
50%
28%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |