AgD Ceuta vs Motril CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
ECI
1 - 2
AGD
41%
28%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
AGD
2 - 0
PLA
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
MOR
2 - 2
AGD
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
AGD
8 - 0
ICR
77%
16%
8%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
POL
2 - 0
AGD
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
MOT
1 - 2
MAN
53%
26%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
MOT
2 - 2
ECI
49%
27%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
PLA
1 - 2
MOT
52%
26%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
MOT
2 - 1
MOR
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
ICR
0 - 1
MOT
32%
29%
40%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |