AgD Ceuta vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
VAL
3 - 0
AGD
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
AGD
2 - 0
LLE
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
IBI
0 - 0
AGD
26%
31%
42%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
AGD
3 - 1
CDZ
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
LIN
5 - 1
AGD
36%
32%
32%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
SFE
1 - 0
GIR
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
SEV
2 - 0
SFE
73%
19%
8%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
SFE
2 - 1
CDB
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
RJA
0 - 0
SFE
75%
18%
7%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
SFE
2 - 1
UES
58%
26%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |