Casillas vs Mombeltran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PIE
8 - 1
CAS
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
ATL
33%
23%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
HOY
3 - 1
CAS
55%
21%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARE
43%
23%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MIJ
2 - 0
CAS
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mombeltran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MOM
5 - 0
PIE
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 3
MOM
13%
18%
70%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MOM
3 - 1
HOY
83%
12%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ARE
0 - 2
MOM
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MOM
2 - 0
MIJ
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |