Camacha vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
13º
9º
30
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
0 - 0
CAM
11%
16%
73%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAM
60%
24%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 1
BMA
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
AMA
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
SMP
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LEC
4 - 0
MAC
87%
10%
3%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RES
0 - 1
LEC
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 2
RES
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
LEC
41%
26%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LEC
0 - 2
VIL
61%
23%
17%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |