Segunda round 23

Alcorcón vs RM Castilla analysis

Alcorcón RM Castilla
74 ELO 71
-6.1% Tilt -4.1%
1444º General ELO ranking 1538º
53º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
51.1%
Alcorcón
25.5%
Draw
23.4%
RM Castilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
Alcorcón
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.4%
Win probability
RM Castilla
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alcorcón
-7%
+15%
RM Castilla

ELO progression

Alcorcón
RM Castilla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alcorcón
Alcorcón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2014
CDT
Tenerife
0 - 4
Alcorcón
ALC
34%
28%
39%
74 66 8 0
15 Jan. 2014
ESP
Espanyol
4 - 2
Alcorcón
ALC
68%
20%
13%
75 83 8 -1
12 Jan. 2014
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
3 - 1
Alcorcón
ALC
55%
25%
20%
76 80 4 -1
08 Jan. 2014
ALC
Alcorcón
1 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
33%
28%
39%
75 83 8 +1
05 Jan. 2014
ALC
Alcorcón
2 - 2
Barça Atlètic
FCB
48%
26%
26%
75 70 5 0

Matches

RM Castilla
RM Castilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2014
RMC
RM Castilla
1 - 2
Real Sporting
SPO
39%
25%
36%
70 79 9 0
11 Jan. 2014
RMC
RM Castilla
2 - 2
Real Murcia
MUR
62%
21%
17%
70 68 2 0
04 Jan. 2014
SAB
CE Sabadell
3 - 2
RM Castilla
RMC
37%
27%
37%
71 65 6 -1
21 Dec. 2013
RMC
RM Castilla
3 - 1
Córdoba CF
CCF
54%
24%
23%
70 73 3 +1
14 Dec. 2013
UDL
UD Las Palmas
0 - 2
RM Castilla
RMC
53%
25%
22%
69 74 5 +1