Alcorcón vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
CIE
2 - 0
ALC
66%
21%
14%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
ALC
1 - 4
RMC
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
UBC
1 - 1
ALC
62%
23%
16%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
ALC
2 - 0
DAI
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
CAR
0 - 0
ALC
54%
25%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
MAN
1 - 0
TRJ
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
SFN
2 - 0
MAN
33%
29%
38%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
MAN
1 - 0
SEG
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
CDB
2 - 2
MAN
51%
25%
23%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
MAN
0 - 0
ARA
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |