Alcorcón vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LEG
1 - 0
ALC
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 3
FUE
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 1
PON
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 0
ALC
35%
29%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 2
SPO
34%
30%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALB
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 1
LUG
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
RAY
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
CDT
1 - 1
LUG
53%
25%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UDL
2 - 3
LUG
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |